The Iran‑Israel escalation Iran’s Retaliation: Operation "True Promise" #buymote #news
Early Proxy Engagements (October–November 2023)
October 8, 2023: Hezbollah launched rockets and artillery at Israeli positions in Shebaa Farms in solidarity with Gaza—marking an early opening of a northern front
Mid‑October 2023: Yemen’s Houthi fighters began firing drones/missiles at Israeli and U.S. targets in the Red Sea—their first such strikes—signaling Tehran’s intent to open a maritime front .
October 17: Iran’s FM warned preemptively that “anything is imaginable” if the Gaza offensive persisted
📡 Cyber & Covert Retaliations (Dec 2023 – Jan 2024)
December 18, 2023 – Iran publicly accused Israel of carrying out a large-scale cyberattack that severely disrupted its national fuel distribution system. According to Iranian officials, the attack disabled around 70% of the country’s gas stations, leading to widespread fuel shortages and public frustration. This incident highlighted Israel's continued use of cyberwarfare as a strategic tool to target Iran’s infrastructure without direct military engagement. (Source: Al Jazeera)
January 15 and 20, 2024 – In retaliation for Israeli airstrikes that had targeted Iranian military assets in Syria and Iraq, Iran launched ballistic missile strikes on Erbil, the capital of Iraq’s Kurdish region. Tehran accused the Mossad (Israeli intelligence) of operating a covert base in Erbil and claimed it was behind the earlier attacks on Iranian officers. In a further response, Iran also carried out an airstrike on a residential building in Damascus allegedly used by IRGC (Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps) advisers, indicating the use of retaliatory measures beyond its borders to assert dominance and deter further Israeli operations.
These events marked a sharp escalation in covert and hybrid warfare between the two nations—moving beyond proxy engagements to direct cyberattacks and missile responses across sovereign territories.
✈️ Direct Military Strikes & Escalation (April 2024)
April 1, 2024 – Israeli Airstrike on Iranian Consulate Annex in Damascus
On April 1, 2024, Israel launched a precision airstrike targeting the Iranian consulate annex in Damascus, Syria. The building, which was adjacent to the official diplomatic mission, was believed to be a military coordination hub for Iranian and Hezbollah operations across the region. The strike killed up to 16 individuals, including senior officers from Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and Hezbollah commanders. This attack was one of the deadliest blows to Iranian leadership outside Iran in years.
The strike drew immediate international attention and condemnation from Iran, which called it a violation of international condemnation from Iran, which called it a violation of international law and diplomatic norms. Tehran vowed “harsh and decisive retaliation”, raising fears of direct confrontation between the two long-time rivals.
(Sources:Wikipedia, various)
April 13, 2024 – Iran’s Retaliation: Operation "True Promise"
In a dramatic response less than two weeks later, on April 13, 2024, Iran launched its first-ever direct military attack on Israel, marking a major turning point in their decades-long shadow war.
The operation—codenamed “True Promise”—involved the coordinated launch of more than 300 projectiles, including:
- Ballistic missiles
- Cruise missiles
- Armed drones
These were fired from Iranian territory, but also with assistance from Iran’s proxy forces in:
- Iraq (Shiite militias)
- Lebanon (Hezbollah)
- Yemen (Houthis)
The strike targeted military bases, airfields, and strategic installations deep within Israeli territory.
Despite the massive scale of the assault, Israel—working in coordination with the U.S., UK, Jordan, and France—managed to intercept about 99% of the incoming threats using advanced air-defense systems such as:
- Iron Dome
- David’s Sling
- Arrow-3
- U.S. Patriot batteries
Only a handful of drones and missiles managed to penetrate the defense layers, causing limited physical damage and minor injuries.
Nevertheless, this event was historically significant for multiple reasons:
It was the first direct attack from Iran onto Israeli soil.
It marked a shift from covert warfare to overt state-on-state conflict.
It signaled Iran's willingness to use its regional proxy network in a coordinated and synchronized offensive.
It tested Israel’s multi-tiered missile defense system under real combat conditions.
🔥 Strategic Implications
Israel's response was measured at first, focusing on diplomacy and leveraging international support, but further military operations followed in late April and May.
Iran’s prestige among its allies surged briefly, but the failure to cause significant damage also revealed its conventional military limitations.
Global concern increased sharply over the possibility of a wider Middle East war, especially involving U.S. forces in the Gulf region.
🎯 Targeted Killings & Leadership Decapitation (July–September 2024)
July 31, 2024: Israeli strike in Tehran killed Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh during a state ceremony—Iran condemned this as a severe escalation
September 27, 2024: Israel allegedly killed Hezbollah’s leader Hassan Nasrallah (and an Iranian general) in Beirut—another direct blow to Iran’s regional infrastructure
🚀 Major Missile Exchanges (October 2024)
October 1, 2024: In response to the assassinations, Iran launched Operation True Promise II—about 200 ballistic missiles toward Israeli targets including military bases and Mossad HQ. Intercepted with minimal damage
🛡️ Deeper Israeli Air Campaign (Late October 2024)
October 26, 2024: Israel struck Iranian S-300 air-defense and radar systems—significantly degrading air-defense infrastructure around strategic energy sites .
🌊 Multi-Front Proxy Warfare
From October 2023 to early 2024, proxy groups in Iraq launched over 170 attacks on U.S. bases, injuring American troops; the U.S. responded with airstrikes, curbing further militia aggression by February 2024
The Houthis, empowered by Iran, continued periodic drone/missile strikes at Israeli/U.S. targets throughout late 2023–2024, proving to be one of the most unpredictable fronts
🧩 Strategic Takeaways Since October 2023
Proxy escalation to direct confrontation: Tensions evolved from indirect proxy skirmishes to large-scale direct military exchanges.
Coordinated multi-theater warfare: Iran employed its full network—from Syria and Iraq to Yemen—to challenge Israel and U.S.
Assassination as retaliation: Israel’s targeted killings of high-value leaders catalyzed Iran’s missile strikes.
Expanding defense and air campaigns: Israel moved from border strikes to plunging Iranian air defense capacity, signaling deep escalation.
Heightened risk of regional war: A web of fronts and actors brought the conflict close to broader, uncontrolled escalation.
This period marked a pivotal shift—turning a Gaza-adjacent proxy war into a broad, multi-domain confrontation designed to press Iran’s regional capacity while pressing U.S. and Israeli response thresholds.
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